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Cold Takes

Futurism; macrohistory; applied epistemology and ethics; sometimes sports

Aug
04

The Great Depression, Recession and Stagnation in Full Historical Context

1 min read
Aug
03

This Can't Go On

13 min read
Jul
29

Imagining yourself as a digital person (two sketches)

11 min read
Jul
28

Does X cause Y? An in-depth evidence review

9 min read
Jul
27

Digital People FAQ

23 min read
Jul
27

Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal

19 min read
Jul
23

Gallup website notes

4 min read
Jul
21

Track records for those who have made lots of predictions

3 min read
Jul
20

The Duplicator: Instant Cloning Would Make the World Economy Explode

11 min read
Jul
15

Phil Birnbaum's "bad regression" puzzles

3 min read
Jul
14

Honesty about reading

3 min read
Jul
13

All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild

13 min read
Jul
13

First Post

3 min read